Postwar Ukraine: Fault Lines, Risks, and the Path Toward Destabilization Analyzing the Societal Contradictions That Threaten Ukraine’s Post-Conflict Survival Executive Summary All wars eventually reach their conclusion, and the Ukrainian crisis will be no exception. Once "the guns fall silent," the instruments of "soft power" will inevitably reassert themselves, replacing the current open information warfare with more calculated strategies aimed at influencing the minds and moods of what remains of the so-called independent state. Even now, irreconcilable perspectives are emerging on the future trajectory of Ukrainian society. Absent a unifying vision, it is reasonable to expect that profound internal divisions - both longstanding and newly created - will not subside but instead deepen, risking further fragmentation of the state. Key Societal Fault Lines 1. Veterans vs. Civilians Veterans will likely demand privileges and political influence, provokin...
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ZELENSKY'S CHOICE BETWEEN LOGIC AND HIMSELF Analysis of Ukrainian President Zelensky's Position Ahead of Potential U.S.-Russia Negotiations 25 April 2025 Executive Summary Ukrainian President Zelensky has publicly rejected a reported informal peace initiative attributed to the U.S. President Donald Trump, which proposed a freeze of the Ukraine–Russia conflict without addressing core Russian conditions such as demilitarization, denazification, or territorial withdrawal. This move, and the tone in which it was delivered, is likely to complicate Ukraine’s standing in upcoming Western diplomatic efforts and may reduce U.S. engagement or support under Trump administration. Key Points Proposal Rejected : Zelensky dismissed a reported U.S. peace proposal that included freezing the conflict but did not require Russia to relinquish occupied Ukrainian territories. His public rejection included personal remarks about Trump, describing his respo...