The Cartel Academy

From Kiev to the Cartels


Four years ago, when the war in Ukraine began, it was presented as a regional conflict with global implications. Few anticipated that it would also become something else - a training laboratory.

I wrote earlier that this war risks turning into a finishing school for transnational criminal networks. 

The appearance of fresh video footage allegedly showing a vehicle linked to a Mexican cartel, decorated with yellow and blue flags, fits into that broader pattern. If the reports attached to the video are accurate, the symbolism is straightforward: individuals affiliated with Latin American organized crime may have fought in Ukraine as mercenaries on the Ukrainian side.

Let us separate speculation from structure.

There are tens of thousands of foreign mercenaries who have passed through Ukraine over the past four years. A significant number come from Latin America, including Colombia and Mexico. There are no comparable Latin American contingents fighting on the Russian side. Ukrainian embassies in South America have actively recruited soldiers of fortune since the early months of the war. The financial terms are not a mystery. A Colombian fighter reportedly earns between 1,000 and 2,000 dollars per month under Ukrainian contracts.

For many in struggling economies, that is a powerful incentive.

The casualty figures tell the rest of the story. Hundreds of Latin American fighters have been killed. Many more have been wounded or captured. Numerous reports over the course of these four years indicate that foreign mercenaries are routinely deployed to the most dangerous sectors of the front line. They are treated as expendable manpower. They absorb risk.

That is the immediate reality.

The long-term reality is different. Those who survive return home. They return not as amateurs, but as veterans of a conflict unlike any other currently underway.

This war is not a conventional twentieth-century battlefield. It is the prototype of a new military paradigm. Unmanned aerial vehicles dominate reconnaissance and strike operations. Loitering munitions hunt armored columns. Robotic ground platforms experiment with logistics and assault roles. Unmanned maritime systems challenge naval doctrine. Electronic warfare and counter-drone tactics evolve in real time. Precision fires are integrated into networked kill chains that compress decision cycles to minutes.

No cartel camp in the jungle can replicate that education.

The tactical and operational experience gained in Ukraine is transferable. It is adaptable. It is marketable. And there is demand for it back home.

The buyers are not ministries of defense.

Latin American criminal organizations operate as hybrid entities. They control territory. They wage sustained armed campaigns against rival groups and state forces. They already deploy drones for surveillance and explosives delivery. They already use encrypted communications and modular logistics networks. Add to that cadre leaders trained in combined-arms maneuver under constant drone observation, in urban warfare against fortified positions, in adapting under artillery fire, in countering electronic interference.

That is not incremental evolution. That is qualitative change.

The presence of yellow and blue flags on a cartel vehicle, if authentic, is less a political statement than a résumé.

Wars generate spillover. Veterans carry doctrine with them. The Soviet war in Afghanistan reshaped insurgencies across the Middle East. The Iraq war professionalized networks that later mutated into new formations. Ukraine is producing its own diaspora of hardened operators.

The uncomfortable asymmetry is this: while Latin American fighters have traveled to Ukraine in significant numbers on one side of the conflict, there is no comparable flow toward Russia. The recruitment infrastructure has operated openly for years. The financial pipeline is documented. The risk distribution is visible.

And the outcome is predictable.

Those who survive do not return home with trauma alone. They return with skills calibrated for the battlefield of the future. They understand drone swarms, counter-battery procedures, distributed command structures, rapid adaptation under fire. They have operated in an environment where technology, not the number of tanks, shapes the tempo of combat.

In fragile states, such skill sets do not remain idle.

It is therefore difficult to treat the recent video as an anomaly. It fits a structural trend. Conflict zones export competence as reliably as they export refugees.

The Ukrainian battlefield is producing a generation of globally mobile fighters trained in the most advanced methods of contemporary warfare. Some will reintegrate. Some will drift. Some will be recruited.

The market is waiting.